🚀 Predict when consensus will flip with Preda! Read the Whitepaper
Core Measurement Construct

Belief State Index (BSI)

The engine that powers Preda. Aggregating, normalizing, and smoothing belief signals across heterogeneous data sources to provide a single, tradeable truth.

Data Ingestion

Ingests raw signals from social sentiment oracles, probability aggregators, and AI consensus feeds.

Normalization

Applies domain-specific weighting and calibration to harmonize disparate signal types.

Temporal Smoothing

Filters out transient noise and volatility using advanced decay functions.

Inflection Detection

Identifies structural changes in belief states that trigger market resolution events.

Live BSI Simulation

SAMPLE_RATE: 50ms
20%
35%
30%
45%
60%
55%
75%
80%
70%
85%
95%
90%
80%
85%
70%
60%
65%
50%
40%
30%
25%
35%
45%
55%
65%
70%
80%
90%
75%
60%
Read Technical Paper